According to the California Department of Housing and Community Development, California needs to produce 180,000 new homes annually, but production averaged less than 80,000 new homes annually over the last 10 years, and ongoing production continues to fall far below the projected need. See rates of housing production in California from 2005-2019. They forecast fewer sales and a price rise of 5.2% in 2022. In that release, they state: " The baseline scenario of C.A.R.'s "2022 California Housing Market Forecast" sees a decline in existing single-family home sales of 5.2 percent next year to reach 416,800 units, down from the projected 2021 sales figure of 439,800. By 2030, one in every five Americans will be over age 65, and our nation will face a severe shortage in appropriate housing to meet their needs. As people age, they need housing that is structurally and mechanically safe and that accommodates people with disabilities. Those 50 and older also need safe communities, adequate transportation.

Gov. Gavin Newsom didn’t create California’s housing shortage but he certainly hasn’t done anything about it either. It’s getting worse not better. That’s why I give Newsom an F on his performance on housing and support his recall. Perhaps it’s time to give someone else a chance of making a differen. The forecast for California's housing market in 2021 is relatively favorable, given the circumstances. Things could be worse than they are, given the seriousness of the public-health crisis. In fact, the nation's real estate market is often referred to as the one "bright spot" in the economy right now, as we approach the fall of 2020. The National Center for Education Statistics reports that as of 2015, there were 3,151,000 public school teachers in the country and a student-teacher ratio of about 16 to 1. In 1921, when NEA first sounded alarm bells about a teacher shortage, there were about 657,000 teachers in the U.S. and a student-teacher ratio of almost 33 to 1.
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